Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.2%). Harkins wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 50.9% vs Roy 51.9% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Harkins 67.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Neutral zone
Harkins 51.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Harkins
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (173)
51.9% (547)
-2.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
54.1% (37)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
53.3% (92)
+13.4%
On power play, Harkins has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Harkins is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Harkins shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Harkins
Roy
Home
55.3% (85)
54.0% (328)
Away
48.0% (100)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Harkins
Roy
P1
71.4%
53.5%
P2
41.8%
51.6%
P3
43.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%