Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Harkins wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 54.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (+11.1%)
Offensive zone
Harkins 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Harkins
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
63.6% (44)
51.6% (1,084)
+12.0%
On even strength, Harkins has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Harkins is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Harkins shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Harkins
Hertl
Home
62.5% (24)
55.2% (696)
Away
65.0% (20)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Harkins
Hertl
P1
72.2%
55.4%
P2
37.5%
54.8%
P3
66.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
63.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%