Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 50.9% vs Nosek 46.9% (+7.8%)
Offensive zone
Harkins 55.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 54.0%
Neutral zone
Harkins 51.3%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Harkins
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (173)
48.5% (66)
+1.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
100.0% (1)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
29.6% (27)
+37.1%
On penalty kill, Harkins has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Harkins is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Harkins shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Harkins
Nosek
Home
55.3% (85)
44.0% (25)
Away
48.0% (100)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Harkins
Nosek
P1
71.4%
46.4%
P2
41.8%
34.2%
P3
43.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%