Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Toews 58.4% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 70.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 90.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
McCann
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McCann
Toews
Last 5: McCann 4-1 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
0
McCann
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
McCann
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
58.0% (901)
-12.0%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
69.5% (226)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
51.7% (209)
+10.8%
On power play, Toews has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
McCann shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
McCann
Toews
Home
45.1% (244)
59.3% (637)
Away
46.0% (248)
58.7% (699)
By Period
McCann
Toews
P1
42.5%
61.5%
P2
45.9%
55.2%
P3
47.8%
60.0%
OT
40.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | OT | 02:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jared McCann |