Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Toews 57.9% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 93.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 93.5%
Neutral zone
McCann 94.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 93.8%
93.8%
6.2%
McCann
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
McCann
Toews
Last 10: McCann 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
1
McCann
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
5
McCann
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
6
McCann
Toews
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
57.2% (13,047)
-14.1%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
63.3% (3,252)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
53.6% (1,810)
-11.4%
On power play, Toews has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
McCann
Toews
Home
43.1% (1,758)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
McCann
Toews
P1
44.4%
58.6%
P2
41.7%
57.8%
P3
42.7%
57.3%
OT
36.4%
58.9%
Final 5 min
41.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2022 | OT | 02:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |