Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.8% vs Hayes 49.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 55.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 60.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 55.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
McCann
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McCann
Hayes
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
McCann
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
McCann
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (531)
50.5% (764)
-4.5%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
53.3% (90)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
38.6% (127)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. McCann is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (397).
McCann shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
McCann
Hayes
Home
46.0% (263)
49.0% (531)
Away
46.4% (332)
49.6% (450)
By Period
McCann
Hayes
P1
48.9%
52.3%
P2
45.0%
45.8%
P3
44.7%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |