Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Hayes 43.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 58.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
McCann
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McCann
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
McCann
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
42.7% (478)
+3.3%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
42.9% (98)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
45.2% (31)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
McCann shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
McCann
Hayes
Home
45.1% (244)
43.5% (232)
Away
46.0% (248)
42.4% (375)
By Period
McCann
Hayes
P1
42.5%
40.1%
P2
45.9%
44.8%
P3
47.8%
42.4%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jared McCann |