Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Hayes 47.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 69.8%
Defensive zone
McCann 72.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 66.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
McCann
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
McCann
Hayes
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
8
McCann
Hayes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
McCann
Hayes
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
6
5
McCann
Hayes
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
47.5% (6,708)
-4.4%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
51.7% (702)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
45.3% (697)
-3.1%
On power play, Hayes has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
McCann
Hayes
Home
43.1% (1,758)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
McCann
Hayes
P1
44.4%
47.5%
P2
41.7%
47.6%
P3
42.7%
47.9%
OT
36.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |