Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 42.0%). Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Barzal 42.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 57.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
McCann
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
McCann
Barzal
Last 10: McCann 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
4
McCann
Barzal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
5
McCann
Barzal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
41.9% (3,565)
+1.2%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
43.4% (205)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
42.3% (26)
-0.1%
On power play, Barzal has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
McCann
Barzal
Home
43.1% (1,758)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
McCann
Barzal
P1
44.4%
40.7%
P2
41.7%
44.4%
P3
42.7%
41.0%
OT
36.4%
27.6%
Final 5 min
41.5%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 19, 2019 | OT | 00:45 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jared McCann |