Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 46.3%). McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Barzal 46.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 52.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 58.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 51.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
McCann
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McCann
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
46.6% (483)
-0.6%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
40.9% (22)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
McCann
Barzal
Home
45.1% (244)
49.6% (242)
Away
46.0% (248)
43.3% (263)
By Period
McCann
Barzal
P1
42.5%
42.4%
P2
45.9%
49.5%
P3
47.8%
47.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jared McCann |