Jared McCann vs Mathew Barzal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jared McCann holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCann 50.0% vs Barzal 41.4% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone McCann 57.2%
Defensive zone Barzal 72.3%
Neutral zone Barzal 56.1%
Result Mathew Barzal favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
McCann Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCann
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
40.4% (463)
+4.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
34.2% (38)
+65.8%
On power play, McCann has a +65.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
McCann shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
McCann
Barzal
Home
53.8% (13)
38.1% (244)
Away
42.9% (7)
41.3% (264)
By Period
McCann
Barzal
P1
50.0%
46.6%
P2
33.3%
35.7%
P3
75.0%
37.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
39.8%