Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Backlund 50.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.3%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McCann
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McCann
Backlund
Last 5: McCann 2-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McCann
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
51.5% (983)
-5.5%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
49.4% (87)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
45.3% (159)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
McCann shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
McCann
Backlund
Home
45.1% (244)
51.6% (653)
Away
46.0% (248)
49.3% (576)
By Period
McCann
Backlund
P1
42.5%
50.0%
P2
45.9%
49.8%
P3
47.8%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |