Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs Backlund 48.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 70.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
McCann
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCann
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McCann
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
50.4% (1,032)
-2.0%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
52.3% (107)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
40.6% (313)
-8.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
McCann shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
McCann
Backlund
Home
52.8% (125)
48.7% (749)
Away
36.1% (119)
48.1% (703)
By Period
McCann
Backlund
P1
37.7%
50.4%
P2
50.5%
50.1%
P3
45.2%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jared McCann |