Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Roy 47.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 74.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 59.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
McCann
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McCann
Roy
Last 5: McCann 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
McCann
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
47.5% (617)
+1.3%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
39.6% (53)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
46.4% (97)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
McCann shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
McCann
Roy
Home
51.0% (143)
47.2% (398)
Away
45.1% (164)
46.3% (369)
By Period
McCann
Roy
P1
53.6%
48.6%
P2
52.0%
48.8%
P3
37.6%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jared McCann |