Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Roy 48.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 85.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 72.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
McCann
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McCann
Roy
Last 8: McCann 5-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
McCann
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
3
0
McCann
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
48.7% (3,719)
-5.6%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
49.5% (283)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
45.5% (477)
-3.3%
On power play, Roy has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
McCann
Roy
Home
43.1% (1,758)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
McCann
Roy
P1
44.4%
50.8%
P2
41.7%
46.3%
P3
42.7%
48.1%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |