Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 44.8%). Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Hartman 45.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
McCann
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McCann
Hartman
Last 7: McCann 2-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
McCann
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
McCann
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
44.8% (936)
+1.2%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
49.4% (154)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
33.3% (54)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
McCann
Hartman
Home
45.1% (244)
47.4% (568)
Away
46.0% (248)
42.4% (576)
By Period
McCann
Hartman
P1
42.5%
47.2%
P2
45.9%
43.4%
P3
47.8%
43.8%
OT
40.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jared McCann |