Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Hartman 45.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 60.3%
Defensive zone
McCann 55.5%
Neutral zone
McCann 58.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
McCann
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
McCann
Hartman
Last 10: McCann 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
McCann
Hartman
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
McCann
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McCann
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
45.2% (4,235)
-2.1%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
47.4% (443)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
42.4% (262)
-0.2%
On power play, Hartman has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
McCann
Hartman
Home
43.1% (1,758)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
McCann
Hartman
P1
44.4%
46.0%
P2
41.7%
42.9%
P3
42.7%
46.8%
OT
36.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
41.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |