Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 90.8%
Defensive zone
McCann 92.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 94.3%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
McCann
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
22
(34 meetings)
12
22
McCann
O'Reilly
Last 10: McCann 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
McCann
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
10
McCann
O'Reilly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
6
McCann
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
56.2% (15,260)
-13.1%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
58.8% (3,445)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
51.4% (2,811)
-9.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
McCann
O'Reilly
Home
43.1% (1,758)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
McCann
O'Reilly
P1
44.4%
55.6%
P2
41.7%
57.0%
P3
42.7%
55.1%
OT
36.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
41.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jared McCann |