Connor McDavid vs Jason Dickinson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Dickinson 49.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 68.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 89.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 60.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
McDavid
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
McDavid
Dickinson
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
10
2
McDavid
Dickinson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Dickinson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
51.5% (695)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
54.5% (11)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
42.4% (210)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dickinson
Home
47.3% (387)
53.6% (489)
Away
48.1% (389)
44.7% (427)
By Period
McDavid
Dickinson
P1
47.6%
47.7%
P2
50.0%
52.1%
P3
45.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |