Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Staal 54.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 80.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Dickinson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dickinson
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
56.1% (955)
-4.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
66.9% (142)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
43.0% (242)
-4.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Staal
Home
48.7% (419)
55.4% (663)
Away
50.4% (383)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Dickinson
Staal
P1
42.6%
55.1%
P2
55.0%
54.7%
P3
50.0%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |