Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Staal 54.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 69.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 69.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Dickinson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Dickinson
Staal
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Dickinson
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
3
Dickinson
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
6
Dickinson
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
57.0% (1,017)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
57.7% (26)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
45.1% (286)
-2.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Staal
Home
53.6% (489)
54.3% (667)
Away
44.7% (427)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Dickinson
Staal
P1
47.7%
56.2%
P2
52.1%
57.0%
P3
47.8%
49.7%
OT
83.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |