Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Staal 57.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 52.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 55.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.4%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Dickinson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Dickinson
Staal
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
5
Dickinson
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
58.9% (1,096)
-7.7%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
68.4% (57)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
51.8% (222)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Staal
Home
52.9% (664)
57.0% (646)
Away
46.7% (572)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Dickinson
Staal
P1
49.0%
55.9%
P2
48.3%
55.4%
P3
52.5%
62.0%
OT
61.5%
70.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |