Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.2% vs Staal 57.3% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 79.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 76.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 79.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Dickinson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dickinson
Staal
Last 5: Dickinson 0-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Dickinson
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Dickinson
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (272)
57.2% (780)
-9.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
71.3% (171)
-28.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
45.5% (132)
-16.1%
On power play, Staal has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dickinson is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Dickinson shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Staal
Home
47.4% (175)
57.6% (566)
Away
44.6% (121)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Dickinson
Staal
P1
38.8%
55.6%
P2
50.5%
58.5%
P3
48.5%
60.6%
OT
33.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
46.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |