Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 55.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 57.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Dickinson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Dickinson
Dowd
Last 7: Dickinson 1-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Dickinson
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Dickinson
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
55.2% (625)
-6.6%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
57.1% (7)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
38.2% (220)
+6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Dickinson shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Dowd
Home
45.4% (368)
53.7% (445)
Away
49.9% (403)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Dickinson
Dowd
P1
49.2%
48.8%
P2
46.3%
49.3%
P3
48.1%
54.0%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |