Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 65.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 82.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 62.3%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Dickinson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Dickinson
Dowd
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
7
Dickinson
Dowd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
4
Dickinson
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,363)
52.4% (6,009)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
56.1% (164)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (884)
44.1% (1,635)
-3.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dickinson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,940).
Dickinson shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Dowd
Home
49.3% (2,779)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
45.9% (2,609)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Dickinson
Dowd
P1
46.9%
51.7%
P2
48.1%
50.4%
P3
47.8%
50.3%
OT
52.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |