Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 52.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 71.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Dickinson
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
62.1% (356)
-10.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
75.0% (4)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
38.7% (62)
+3.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Sturm
Home
53.6% (489)
61.8% (191)
Away
44.7% (427)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Dickinson
Sturm
P1
47.7%
58.0%
P2
52.1%
57.9%
P3
47.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%