Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Roy 48.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 56.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Dickinson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dickinson
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Dickinson
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
49.5% (746)
-5.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
50.7% (75)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
42.7% (110)
-14.7%
On power play, Roy has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dickinson is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Dickinson shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Roy
Home
38.8% (129)
47.7% (491)
Away
45.6% (160)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Dickinson
Roy
P1
49.4%
51.1%
P2
45.1%
44.6%
P3
34.7%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
40.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |