Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Roy 47.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 63.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 62.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Dickinson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Dickinson
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Dickinson
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
47.5% (617)
+3.7%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
39.6% (53)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
46.4% (97)
-3.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Roy
Home
52.9% (664)
47.2% (398)
Away
46.7% (572)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Dickinson
Roy
P1
49.0%
48.6%
P2
48.3%
48.8%
P3
52.5%
43.9%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |