Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Thomas 52.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 82.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 53.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 70.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Dickinson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dickinson
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
0
Dickinson
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Dickinson
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
53.6% (924)
-5.0%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
55.2% (181)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
44.0% (116)
+0.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Dickinson shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Thomas
Home
45.4% (368)
53.6% (606)
Away
49.9% (403)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Dickinson
Thomas
P1
49.2%
48.2%
P2
46.3%
55.3%
P3
48.1%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |