Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Thomas 54.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 87.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 54.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 80.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Dickinson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dickinson
Thomas
Last 7: Dickinson 6-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
55.3% (990)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
54.2% (190)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
52.5% (158)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Thomas
Home
53.6% (489)
55.1% (690)
Away
44.7% (427)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Dickinson
Thomas
P1
47.7%
55.5%
P2
52.1%
56.4%
P3
47.8%
51.5%
OT
83.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |