Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 82.3%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 64.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Dickinson
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dickinson
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Dickinson
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Dickinson
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
59.8% (625)
-11.2%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
58.2% (196)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
51.9% (27)
-7.7%
On power play, Johansen has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Dickinson shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Johansen
Home
45.4% (368)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.9% (403)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Dickinson
Johansen
P1
49.2%
61.3%
P2
46.3%
60.4%
P3
48.1%
56.0%
OT
44.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |