Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 75.5%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 60.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Dickinson
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Dickinson
Johansen
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
6
Dickinson
Johansen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dickinson
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
51.9% (597)
-0.7%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
57.9% (133)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
54.3% (81)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Johansen
Home
52.9% (664)
55.8% (387)
Away
46.7% (572)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Dickinson
Johansen
P1
49.0%
50.0%
P2
48.3%
56.2%
P3
52.5%
52.6%
OT
61.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |