Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Poehling 47.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 58.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 65.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.5%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Dickinson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dickinson
Poehling
Last 5: Dickinson 4-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
49.8% (626)
+2.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
38.2% (207)
+0.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Poehling
Home
48.7% (419)
47.3% (404)
Away
50.4% (383)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Dickinson
Poehling
P1
42.6%
53.5%
P2
55.0%
39.4%
P3
50.0%
49.1%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |