Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Poehling 50.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 60.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Dickinson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dickinson
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Dickinson
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
52.6% (622)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
58.3% (12)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
39.8% (103)
+2.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Poehling
Home
53.6% (489)
53.2% (393)
Away
44.7% (427)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Dickinson
Poehling
P1
47.7%
50.9%
P2
52.1%
56.2%
P3
47.8%
46.1%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |