Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Poehling 47.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 54.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 53.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Dickinson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dickinson
Poehling
Last 5: Dickinson 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Dickinson
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
45.1% (437)
-0.8%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.4% (39)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
61.5% (13)
-33.5%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Dickinson shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Poehling
Home
38.8% (129)
46.6% (232)
Away
45.6% (160)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Dickinson
Poehling
P1
49.4%
43.9%
P2
45.1%
49.1%
P3
34.7%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |