Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.1% vs Steel 49.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 84.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 70.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Dickinson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dickinson
Steel
Last 5: Dickinson 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (398)
49.5% (204)
-5.0%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
57.1% (7)
-34.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (62)
33.3% (9)
+2.2%
On power play, Steel has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dickinson is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Dickinson shoots left. Steel is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Steel
Home
45.2% (221)
53.2% (77)
Away
40.7% (248)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Dickinson
Steel
P1
45.1%
45.5%
P2
40.0%
49.4%
P3
44.7%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Sam Steel |