Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Steel 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 65.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 73.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Dickinson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dickinson
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Dickinson
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
52.5% (200)
-0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
71.4% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
40.0% (45)
-1.3%
On power play, Steel has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Steel
Home
48.7% (419)
49.5% (109)
Away
50.4% (383)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Dickinson
Steel
P1
42.6%
49.5%
P2
55.0%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Sam Steel |