Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 70.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 66.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Dickinson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Dickinson
Steel
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Dickinson
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Dickinson
Steel
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,363)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.6%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
62.6% (179)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (884)
37.4% (254)
+3.1%
On power play, Steel has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,448).
Dickinson shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Steel
Home
49.3% (2,779)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
45.9% (2,609)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Dickinson
Steel
P1
46.9%
51.9%
P2
48.1%
49.5%
P3
47.8%
49.6%
OT
52.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Sam Steel |