Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 64.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 79.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Dickinson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Dickinson
Seguin
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
2
Dickinson
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Dickinson
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
56.9% (478)
-5.7%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
57.4% (54)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
51.3% (76)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Seguin
Home
52.9% (664)
57.4% (317)
Away
46.7% (572)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Dickinson
Seguin
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
48.3%
60.4%
P3
52.5%
58.0%
OT
61.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |