Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Seguin 51.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 80.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 60.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Dickinson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dickinson
Seguin
Last 5: Dickinson 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Dickinson
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
54.8% (135)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
58.3% (24)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
26.7% (15)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Dickinson shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Seguin
Home
53.6% (489)
47.4% (95)
Away
44.7% (427)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Dickinson
Seguin
P1
47.7%
50.8%
P2
52.1%
57.1%
P3
47.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |