Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.9% vs Spezza 55.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 55.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 53.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Kopitar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kopitar
Spezza
Last 6: Kopitar 1-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Kopitar
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Kopitar
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Kopitar
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,295)
56.4% (654)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.5% (271)
51.7% (87)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (249)
50.0% (6)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Kopitar is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Kopitar shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Spezza
Home
55.6% (901)
61.4% (352)
Away
52.7% (915)
50.9% (395)
By Period
Kopitar
Spezza
P1
53.3%
60.6%
P2
55.3%
54.8%
P3
53.6%
52.5%
OT
59.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |