Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Spezza 53.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Wheeler
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Wheeler
Spezza
Last 5: Wheeler 0-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Wheeler
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Wheeler
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
52.6% (346)
-2.0%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
61.0% (41)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
72.7% (11)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. Spezza is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Spezza
Home
52.8% (352)
56.0% (175)
Away
46.3% (300)
52.5% (223)
By Period
Wheeler
Spezza
P1
46.8%
56.8%
P2
57.7%
54.3%
P3
44.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |