Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.6% vs Spezza 53.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 63.6%
Defensive zone
Boyle 87.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 57.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Boyle
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Boyle
Spezza
Last 10: Boyle 7-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
11
Boyle
Spezza
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
1
Boyle
Spezza
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
7
Boyle
Spezza
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (931)
53.8% (1,283)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
52.8% (303)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (209)
49.4% (89)
-3.0%
On power play, Boyle has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Boyle is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Boyle shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Home / Away
Boyle
Spezza
Home
54.3% (595)
56.4% (853)
Away
49.4% (620)
50.5% (847)
By Period
Boyle
Spezza
P1
54.2%
53.4%
P2
50.0%
54.2%
P3
51.3%
53.4%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |