Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Spezza 55.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 72.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 55.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 59.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Grant
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Grant
Spezza
Last 6: Grant 4-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Grant
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
56.4% (654)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
51.7% (87)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
On power play, Grant has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Grant is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Grant shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Grant
Spezza
Home
56.1% (344)
61.4% (352)
Away
49.0% (253)
50.9% (395)
By Period
Grant
Spezza
P1
49.4%
60.6%
P2
56.1%
54.8%
P3
54.0%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |