Jason Spezza vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Pageau 55.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 57.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Spezza
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Pageau
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
55.8% (1,000)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
56.6% (182)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
51.2% (170)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Spezza
Pageau
Home
55.0% (282)
57.1% (674)
Away
50.8% (295)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Spezza
Pageau
P1
53.1%
56.9%
P2
53.2%
54.5%
P3
52.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |