Jason Spezza vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.8%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Pageau 54.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 75.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Spezza
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Spezza
Pageau
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
0
Spezza
Pageau
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
8
Spezza
Pageau
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
55.7% (9,486)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
57.0% (1,002)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
49.6% (2,069)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Home / Away
Spezza
Pageau
Home
56.8% (5,066)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Spezza
Pageau
P1
55.7%
54.6%
P2
54.4%
56.3%
P3
54.1%
53.5%
OT
51.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |