Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Carter 56.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 79.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 65.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Spezza
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Spezza
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Spezza
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Spezza
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
57.9% (885)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
61.7% (133)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
45.4% (119)
-7.2%
On power play, Carter has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Spezza
Carter
Home
55.0% (282)
58.2% (543)
Away
50.8% (295)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Spezza
Carter
P1
53.1%
57.5%
P2
53.2%
57.1%
P3
52.3%
55.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |