Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Boqvist 37.9% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 96.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 93.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 94.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Spezza
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Spezza
Boqvist
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Boqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
2
Spezza
Boqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Boqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
36.8% (1,072)
+17.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
42.1% (38)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
30.8% (26)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Boqvist is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (422).
Home / Away
Spezza
Boqvist
Home
56.8% (5,066)
36.9% (539)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
36.7% (597)
By Period
Spezza
Boqvist
P1
55.7%
38.3%
P2
54.4%
36.2%
P3
54.1%
36.1%
OT
51.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |