Jason Spezza vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Kotkaniemi 46.2% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 65.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 88.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 84.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
45.2% (706)
+12.8%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
50.6% (79)
+9.4%
On even strength, Spezza has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.2% (376)
46.8% (438)
Away
58.2% (431)
44.4% (347)
By Period
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
P1
63.3%
48.2%
P2
54.9%
48.9%
P3
57.4%
39.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |