Jason Spezza vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 87.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 92.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 91.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
5
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
2
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
1
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
49.0% (3,852)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
51.3% (351)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
45.7% (35)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.7%
49.9%
P2
54.4%
50.4%
P3
54.1%
47.2%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |